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20100905
20100905
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of virginia. and susan page is the washington bureau chief for "usa today." it's not fabulous just because of you, larry, but it is one hell of a school. here are larry's numbers. they were out the other day. i want to start with your thoughts and your predictions. currently, 47 house seats go republican. a shift enough -- enough of a shift to get power to the republicans. eight our nine pickups of the senate seats they need to win of the ten won't make it yet. although i think he's offering up that possibility. a net game of eight governors going to the republican side. so a very, very big win for the republican party. but not a complete shutout yet, apparently. and the new "usa today" gallup poll finds republicans prefer republican candidates across the country by 49% to 43%, should be enough of a percentage, six-point difference, to give them control, as well. let me turn to larry sabato. to encapsulize your current position, what is it? >> it's what you said, chris, republicans taking over the house. not by an enormous margin but a decent margin. having a chance to take over the senate
jersey and virginia, from these elections we have already had, no such parallel has already taken place. we already know that the popularity of the new new deal simply is not there in practical and objective terms. even if the rosy scenarios that have karl rove chuckling and i do not come to be, everybody agrees that the democrats are going to lose a significant number of seats in the house and the senate. how significant? that is for the pathologists to predict. that fact, in and of itself, proves that the climate is very different than it needs to be to support the idea that we are entering a new new deal. the fact that these predictions so omnipresent out in the political and intellectual culture says something about why obama and the democrats have so fundamentally overreached. they thought it was true. they were working on an understanding of the political climate that actually did not track with reality. a very good explanation or one of the reasons why democrats so overreached came from j cause, someone who does political analysis. he pointed out that, in the 1960's, the committe
one -- virginia and maryland. then you have democrats that face tougher calls. chett edwards faces a tough race. these are members represent conservative districts. this may not be the year for them to save their seats. host: what will be the game plan for the white house to save the majority in the house? guest: to be very cold-blooded in their a look and where they need to invest in these races. decide where their money can make a difference. host: will the president be campaigning for individual candidates? will he stay clear and fund- raiser for them instead? what will he do? guest: i think you'll see president obama heading up the new york checkbox pretty soon. he will head up the los angeles checkbox. -- checkbooks. many of the conservative democrats -- and democrats in conservative districts, do not want to have the present campaign for them. the individualize their races. the distance themselves from the national party. host: the first lady is going to spend some of her political capital and carefully stepped into the campaign season. where do you expect to see her? guest:
dakota, texas, virginia who have filed these briefs in support of arizona. are they hate groups, too? >> eric, it shows that american people want a solution now. we have seen this year after year. what we need to do is have a solution. majority of americans included the fox july poll, they want a program that resolves this issue. instead of doing nothing, which is what fair has done, we have actually started to work to do something. and to find a reasonable solution. and to pass a law where the individuals will come out of the shadows and they'll be recognized for security reasons, too. we need to know who the people are in our country, also for security purposes. >> eric: dan, last word on the accusations and the -- >> obviously, all this woman is wants is amnesty. amnesty, amnesty. gets on here and throws name-calling and doesn't provide substantive evidence. i condemn the comments. the professional left is losing a tremendous amount of political ground on the immigration debate because they don't have ideas. we need to enforce our law. we don't need amnesty. we need states in the
is one and virginia is one where the stock of unauthorized immigrants has come down and the past year. host: i want to ask you first, how do you come up with your terminology? like unauthorized immigrants. you hear a lot of different labeling with this issue. guest: the pew hispanice center as part of the pew research center. we don't have a dog in any fight. we are nonpartisan. if you choose what label or another, you are seen as being on one side of the issue or the other. we are not on any side. we chose the term the government uses. whetr it works for some people or does not, it is the closest thing, we think, to the initial term. ho: how did you do this study? how you calculate it is coming in and he is leaving? guest: i urge your viewers to go to our website. it includes a seven-page methodology section that describes how we do it. i will try to give you a brief summary. our website is www.pewhispanic.org. does is iswho rey purcell. he worked for the census bureau of some 20 years ago. he has been with us for the last five years. he is the originator of this methodology. it is c
Search Results 0 to 4 of about 5